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Lesson 6 video 1: Risk, Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis
 
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In this and next videos I will explain how to incorporate risk and uncertainty in the economic evaluation of projects for the purpose of investment. I will explain how you can apply the sensitivity analysis techniques to evaluate the projects in this case. There are several quantitative methods for incorporating risk and uncertainty. I will explain two of these methods: 1) Sensitivity analysis or probabilistic sensitivity analysis 2)Expected value or expected net present value
Views: 7047 F. Tayari
Sensitivity Analysis (Business Forecasting)
 
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This short revision video introduces and illustrates the concept of sensitivity analysis. Sensitivity analysis is a technique which allows the analysis of changes in assumptions used in forecasts. As such, it is a very useful technique for use in investment appraisal, sales and profit forecasting and lots of other quantitative aspects of business management.
Views: 9655 tutor2u
PMP- PMBOK -  Quantitative Risk Analysis - Sensitivity Analysis using Tornado Diagrams
 
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PMP- PMBOK - Quantitative Risk Analysis - Sensitivity Analysis using Tornado Diagram PMP® Certification Training: http://www.pmexpertinc.com/ www.pmexpertgroup.com For more updates on courses and tips follow us on: - Facebook :https://www.facebook.com/pmexpertinc/ -
Views: 2858 Pankaj Sharma
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN CAPITAL BUDGETING BY CA PAVAN KARMELE
 
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FOR PEN DRIVE CLASSES CONTACT NO. 9977223599, 9977213599 E-MAIL- [email protected]
Views: 9443 CA PAVAN KARMELE
Sensitivity Analysis
 
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This video is a part of Conservation Strategy Fund's collection of environmental economic lessons and was made possible thanks to the support of the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation and the Marcia Brady Tucker Foundation. This series is for individuals who want to learn - or review - the basic economics of conservation. In this video, you will learn how to set up a sensitivity analysis within a cost-benefit analysis. To follow this series, subscribe to our YouTube channel. For more information on these and other trainings from Conservation Strategy Fund, check out: http://www.conservation-strategy.org/
Decision Analysis Part-1 | Decisions Under Uncertainty/Risk & Sensitivity Analysis
 
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Includes, - steps for decision analysis - decisions under uncertainty - decisions under risk - sensitivity analysis - decision trees - minimax, maxmin, realism (hurwicz), equally likely, and minimax regret criteria - expected monetary value (emv) calculation Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL34t5iLfZddtKi93_8Sd0KwwuABmgwbDS
Views: 14825 Bharatendra Rai
Risk, Uncertainty, and Sensitivity Analysis
 
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For More Medical and Healthcare related Services Visit : http://www.medverdict.com For More Medical and Healthcare related Services Visit : http://www.medverdict.com Risk, Uncertainty, and Sensitivity Analysis http://www.phwiki.com/
Views: 69 Medverdict
PrecisionTree - Sensitivity Analysis
 
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Perform a sensitivity analysis in PrecisionTree to gain useful insights about the decision tree. Learn more about PrecisionTree: http://www.palisade.com/precisiontree/
Views: 7075 PalisadeCorp
Risk Sensitivities
 
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An introduction to Risk Sensitivities using components of the corresponding module found under Optimal MRM's market risk e-Learning service. The full presentation includes risk measurement exercises in Excel and guides subscribers as they practice the concepts and techniques presented in a hands-on manner. We invite you to attend a complimentary e-Learning demo module (http://www.optimalmrm.com/services/elearning-catalog/17-banks/22-basel/) to experience how Optimal MRM delivers a practical understanding of risk in a rich and interactive manner.
Views: 5978 Optimal MRM
2015-FRM : Stress Testing Part 1(of 2)
 
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FinTree website link: http://www.fintreeindia.com This series of video's discusses following key points : 1) Purposes of stress testing and the process of implementing a stress testing scenario 2) Event-driven scenarios and portfolio-driven scenarios 3) Common one-variable sensitivity tests 4) Drawbacks to scenario analysis 5) Unidimensional and multidimensional scenarios 6) Various approaches to multidimensional scenario analysis 7) Sensitivity analysis and stress testing model parameters 8) Results of a stress test can be used to improve risk analysis and risk management systems We love what we do, and we make awesome video lectures for CFA and FRM exams. Our Video Lectures are comprehensive, easy to understand and most importantly, fun to study with! This Video lecture was recorded by our popular trainer for CFA, Mr. Utkarsh Jain, during one of his live FRM Part I Classes in Pune (India). FB Page link :http://www.facebook.com/Fin...
Views: 31229 FinTree
Sensitivity Analysis and Tornado Plots
 
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Analyzes net present value using sensitivity analysis and generates a tornado plot. Made by faculty at the University of Colorado Boulder Department of Chemical & Biological Engineering. Check out our process design playlist: http://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL4xAk5aclnUjEuE_fvbyEts_oBpHYcwLY
Views: 60119 LearnChemE
MS Excel: Monte Carlo Analysis - Uncertainty and Sensitivity to Change
 
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In this tutorial we learn how to perform Monte Carlo iteration analysis to account for uncertainty in variables. In this scenario, we examine uncertainty in cost, benefit and growth rate values for a project and how they affect the net present value (NPV). Excel document link: https://drive.google.com/open?id=0B_lD7FHorWGzSGhMWHh5Ukx3Vzg Check out the NEW WEBSITE: https://growyourcareer.com and look under "Downloads" UPDATED BLOG: https://arcologydesigns.blogspot.com Formulas: Cell F2: =RAND()*(D2-C2)+C2 - Generates a random value between the established parameters. Cell I2: =1/1.05^H2 - Discount factor; accounts for our preference to consume now rather than later. Cell J4: =J3*(1+$F$4) - Accounts for the growth rate of benefits at a given percent per year. Cell K2: =I2*J2 - The present value of costs and benefits after discounting. Cell T1: =AVERAGE(R3:R102) - Average NPV. Cell T2: =STDEV(R3:R102) - Standard deviation of NPV. Cell T3: =MIN(R3:R102) - Minimum NPV Cell T4: =MAX(R3:R102) - Maximum NPV Normal Distributions and Bell Curves Tutorial: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50kZjl-7ZaQ ________________________________________________________________________ ArcologyDesigns: http://www.arcologydesigns.com BCB Energy, LLC: http://www.bcb-energy.com For free IT sample files, go to: www.bcb-energy.com and click on "IT Training Initiative," and navigate to the Sample Files download page. ________________________________________________________________________ 100% ALL original content - photos, music, lyrics, art and more! BCB Energy, LLC and its subsidiary ArcologyDesigns are the sole creators and owners to all artwork, photographs, illustrations, graphics, logos, lyrics, texts, materials, sound recordings and musical compositions and all features of the content and materials. This includes but is not limited to the design, assortment, arrangement, atmosphere and presentation and any associated copyrights or trademarks of such content and materials.
Views: 37046 Grow Your Career
Session 11: Objective 2 - Scenario and Other What-if Analysis
 
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The Finance Coach: Introduction to Corporate Finance with Greg Pierce Textbook: Fundamentals of Corporate Finance Ross, Westerfield, Jordan Chapter 11: Project Evaluation and Analysis Objective 2 - Key Concepts: Scenario Analysis (Best, Base, and Worst Case) Sensitivity Analysis Simulation Analysis More Information at: http://thefincoach.com/
Views: 5015 TheFinCoach
FinMan Ch 11 Cash Flow and Risk video part 7   Sensitivity Analysis 6 minutes
 
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Financial Management Chapter 11 Cash Flow and Risks Part 7 - Sensitivity Analysis
Views: 228 Larry Louie
Estimate the risk of project by sensitivity, scenario, Crystal Ball emulation analysis tutourial
 
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How to install Oracle Crystal Ball plug in Microsoft Excel: https://youtu.be/ClLMaItMYNs
Views: 145 Vchannel
ACCA F9 Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty - Sensitivity Analysis (example 1)
 
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ACCA F9 Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty - Sensitivity Analysis Free lectures for the ACCA F9 Financial Management To benefit from this lecture, visit opentuition.com to download the free lectures notes used in the lecture and access all our free resources including all F9 lectures, practice tests and Ask the Tutor Forums. http://opentuition.com/acca/f9/ Please go to opentuition to post questions to ACCA F9 Tutor, we do not provide support on youtube. *** Complete list of free ACCA F9 lectures is available on http://opentuition.com/acca/f9/ ***
Views: 11315 OpenTuition
Lesson 6 video 2: Sensitivity Analysis
 
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In this video I will work on an example and explain the sensitivity analysis method. I will describe how we can use sensitivity analysis for project evaluation.
Views: 3100 F. Tayari
Sensitivity Analysis
 
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Lecture on sensitivity analysis presented by Dr. Thomas Seager, at Arizona State University. February 4th, 2016
Views: 9589 Ema Shqalsi
Capital Budgeting: Sensitivity Analysis, Scenario Analysis, Break-Even Analysis
 
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Professor David Hillier, University of Strathclyde; Short videos for my students Check out www.david-hillier.com for my personal website.
Views: 11496 David Hillier
7.3 Sensitivity Analysis
 
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Sensitivity Analysis
Views: 43492 Dee Amaradasa
Excel Finance Class 89: Sensitivity Analysis For Cash Flow & NPV Calculations
 
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Download Excel workbook http://people.highline.edu/mgirvin/ExcelIsFun.htm See how to do Sensitivity Analysis and adjust a single variable for a NPV calculation. See the NPV and SLOPE function and TRANSPOSE array Functions and how to create a X Y Scatter chart.
Views: 79633 ExcelIsFun
Managing Interest Rate Risk - Income Gap Analysis
 
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More videos at http://facpub.stjohns.edu/~moyr/videoonyoutube.htm
Views: 17764 Ronald Moy
What is SCENARIO ANALYSIS? What does SCENARIO ANALYSIS mean? SCENARIO ANALYSIS meaning
 
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What is SCENARIO ANALYSIS? What does SCENARIO ANALYSIS mean? SCENARIO ANALYSIS meaning - SCENARIO ANALYSIS definition - SCENARIO ANALYSIS explanation. Source: Wikipedia.org article, adapted under https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/ license. SUBSCRIBE to our Google Earth flights channel - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC6UuCPh7GrXznZi0Hz2YQnQ Scenario analysis is a process of analyzing possible future events by considering alternative possible outcomes (sometimes called "alternative worlds"). Thus, scenario analysis, which is one of the main forms of projection, does not try to show one exact picture of the future. Instead, it presents several alternative future developments. Consequently, a scope of possible future outcomes is observable. Not only are the outcomes observable, also the development paths leading to the outcomes. In contrast to prognoses, the scenario analysis is not based on extrapolation of the past or the extension of past trends. It does not rely on historical data and does not expect past observations to remain valid in the future. Instead, it tries to consider possible developments and turning points, which may only be connected to the past. In short, several scenarios are fleshed out in a scenario analysis to show possible future outcomes. Each scenario normally combines optimistic, pessimistic, and more and less probable developments. However, all aspects of scenarios should be plausible. Although highly discussed, experience has shown that around three scenarios are most appropriate for further discussion and selection. More scenarios risks making the analysis overly complicated. Scenario-building is designed to allow improved decision-making by allowing consideration of outcomes and their implications. Scenario analysis can also be used to illuminate "wild cards." For example, analysis of the possibility of the earth being struck by a meteor suggests that whilst the probability is low, the damage inflicted is so high that the event is much more important (threatening) than the low probability (in any one year) alone would suggest. However, this possibility is usually disregarded by organizations using scenario analysis to develop a strategic plan since it has such overarching repercussions. In economics and finance, a financial institution might use scenario analysis to forecast several possible scenarios for the economy (e.g. rapid growth, moderate growth, slow growth) and for financial market returns (for bonds, stocks and cash) in each of those scenarios. It might consider sub-sets of each of the possibilities. It might further seek to determine correlations and assign probabilities to the scenarios (and sub-sets if any). Then it will be in a position to consider how to distribute assets between asset types (i.e. asset allocation); the institution can also calculate the scenario-weighted expected return (which figure will indicate the overall attractiveness of the financial environment). It may also perform stress testing, using adverse scenarios. Depending on the complexity of the problem, scenario analysis can be a demanding exercise. It can be difficult to foresee what the future holds (e.g. the actual future outcome may be entirely unexpected), i.e. to foresee what the scenarios are, and to assign probabilities to them; and this is true of the general forecasts never mind the implied financial market returns. The outcomes can be modeled mathematically/statistically e.g. taking account of possible variability within single scenarios as well as possible relationships between scenarios. In general, one should take care when assigning probabilities to different scenarios as this could invite a tendency to consider only the scenario with the highest probability. In politics or geopolitics, scenario analysis involves reflecting on the possible alternative paths of a social or political environment and possibly diplomatic and war risks. While there is utility in weighting hypotheses and branching potential outcomes from them, reliance on scenario analysis without reporting some parameters of measurement accuracy (standard errors, confidence intervals of estimates, metadata, standardization and coding, weighting for non-response, error in reportage, sample design, case counts, etc.) is a poor second to traditional prediction. Especially in “complex” problems, factors and assumptions do not correlate in lockstep fashion. Once a specific sensitivity is undefined, it may call the entire study into question.....
Views: 6955 The Audiopedia
RiskyProject Project Risk Software Tutorial: Sensitivity Analysis
 
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Project risk analysis software RiskyProject includes a number of analytical views: a sensitivity chart or tornado diagram, a crucial task view, a success rates view, and a risk chart. These tools present crucial tasks and critical risks, as well as tasks with different probabilities of successful completion. For more information please visit http://www.intaver.com
Project Management Concept #26: Sensitivy Analysis vs EMV Analysis
 
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Passionate Project Management, www.PassionatePM.com, is pleased to sponsor this Passionate Project Management YouTube channel. Passionate Project Management specializes in project management learning, development, and consulting. Passionate Project Management offers open enrollment and private on-site courses delivered by the leading instructors in the industry. Passionate Project Management provides PMP Exam Prep, CAPM Exam Prep, PMI-RMP (Risk Management) Exam Prep, and PMI-ACP (Agile) Exam prep. This Video is a component of our Learning Concepts Series: 26. Sensitivity Analysis vs EMV narrated by Belinda Fremouw. Belinda was the first woman in the world to achieve the original five PMI Credentials. Her experience spans multiple decades, crosses several industries, and includes domestic and international project experience. Belinda is a well-known public speaker and author. Check out our website at www.PassionatePM.com for all of our course offerings and exam prep study materials. www.PassionatePM.com #PassionatePM #BelindaFremouw #BelindaPMP
Views: 4661 PM Learning Solutions
Financial Modelling - Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis
 
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http://www.videofinancialmodelling.com/financial-modelling-sensitivity-and-scenario-analysis/ Shows how to setup a sensitivity, scenario or what-if analysis manager in a financial model.
Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty Sensitivity Analysis (example 1)
 
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Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty Sensitivity Analysis (example 1) - ACCA Financial Management (FM) *** Complete list of free ACCA FM lectures is available on OpenTuition.com https://opentuition.com/acca/fm/ *** Free lectures for the ACCA Financial Management (FM) Exam To benefit from this lecture, visit opentuition.com/acca to download the notes used in the lecture and access ALL free resources: ACCA lectures, tests and Ask the ACCA Tutor Forums Please go to opentuition to post questions to ACCA Tutor, we do not provide support on youtube.
Views: 434 OpenTuition
Sensitivity Analysis
 
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A first look at Sensitivity Analysis - how changes impact the various parts of our Breakeven Analysis.
Views: 2328 c hanusa
Monte Carlo Simulation: Sensitivity Tornado Plot
 
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This video describes the sensitivity tornado plot, added to the Monte Carlo Simulation procedure in Statgraphics 18. The plot is identify which input variables have the greatest impact on the output variables. You can read more about this procedure on our website: http://www.statgraphics.com/monte-carlo. Test out our leading statistical program, Statgraphics 18, for free for 30 days by following this link: https://www.statgraphics.com/centurion-xviii.
Views: 3181 Statgraphics
Sensitivity Analysis / Capaital Budgeting / CS Professional
 
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Buy video lectures at http://www.conferenza.in/
Views: 3710 CS Video Lectures
Sensitivity Analysis - An Effective Financial Analysis Tool for Project Appraisal
 
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The video explains the concept of Sensitivity Analysis.
Views: 2583 Ns Toor
ACCA F9 Course Investment Appraisal 13 Sensitivity analysis and expected value
 
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The last topic under investment appraisal is examining investment projects under risk. There are many ways to integrate risk and uncertainty, several examples include - 1. Sensitivity analysis; 2. Expected value using probabilities; 3. Decision tree analysis; 4. Simulation. In this video, we focus on the discussion of sensitivity analysis and expected value using probabilities. It is very common to see investment appraisal under risk questions in ACCA Financial Management exam. The general weakness is students cannot find the differences between sensitivity analysis and probability analysis (expected value). Don't worry, we are here to help. Watch the video and check out the answer.
Views: 218 Got it Pass
Capital Budgeting | Sensitivity Analysis | Simulation Analysis | Introduction | Examples | Part 5
 
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Strategic Financial Management : Chartered Accountancy; Capital Budgeting | Sensitivity Analysis | Simulation Analysis | Introduction | Examples | Part 5; Briefing : 00:00:36 - 00:01:43 Topic Covered : 1. Sensitivity Analysis : 00:01:56 - 00:23:51 - Introduction - Examples 2. Simulation Analysis : 00:23:59 - - Introduction - Examples - Steps involved in Simulation Analysis [CA May'11] : 00:30:09 - 00:33:28 - Limitations : 00:33:28 - 00:35:06 Video by Edupedia World (www.edupediaworld.com), Free Online Education; Download our App : https://goo.gl/1b6LBg Click here, https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLJumA3phskPGZ7QPDmzNYr-fJDi5BjW6x for more videos on Strategic Financial Management; All Rights Reserved.
Views: 715 Edupedia World
Sensitivity Analysis - financial management lesson no  3
 
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very simple financial model. Main feature used - conduct “What if” analysis. It adds authority to any type of financial model by testing the model across a wide set of possibilities. Managers need to be prepared for all economic conditions. Sensitivity analysis helps managers to take decisions under certain specific conditions.
Views: 412 R K Arora
Risk and risk aversion – sensitivity analysis, gambling and insurance
 
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Subject:Economics Paper: Advanced microeconomics
Views: 138 Vidya-mitra
Lesson 4 6 Sensitivity Analysis
 
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4 Financial Evaluation and Strategy - Corporate Finance
Views: 603 Ryo Eng
CIMA P1 Sensitivity Analysis
 
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CIMA P1 Sensitivity Analysis Free lectures for the CIMA P1 Exams Management Accounting
Views: 4565 OpenTuition
Decision Tree Analysis/EMV - Risk PMP Exam Prep Problem
 
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PMP Exam Audio Prep: http://praizion.com Our project management courses are credit eligible for contact hours or professional development units (PDUs). Participants studying for the PMP® exam can claim the contact hours earned to satisfy PMI's eligibility requirements for the PMP® exam. Project managers seeking to maintain their PMP certification can claim the PDUs earned to satisfy PMI's Continuing Certification Requirements. Mission Statement At Praizion Media, our goal is to significantly enhance core competency in project management and equip participants with the necessary tools and skills to hit--the-ground-running in their project work. We are committed to providing clear understanding of the PMBOK® Guide, project management, project management tools, techniques and concepts to participants worldwide. With a mind-set of quality and excellence, we strive to: • Uphold the project management methodology advocated by the Project Management Institute (PMI®). • Present real world project management concepts and examples in an accessible, understandable framework. • Provide PMP® candidates with a mechanism to gauge understanding and preparedness for the PMP® exam. • Reinforce project management sensibility through targetted learning instruction.
Views: 4406 Praizion
PMP® | Risk Analysis-Qualitative & Quantitative Approaches
 
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Stuck with PMP? Enroll in our PMP Online Training and Get PMP in 45 Days with PMBOK5 http://goo.gl/l2aQOq Agenda for the hangout Check out the queries raised at iZenBridge Forum http://goo.gl/pVUqF7 to be discussed during the session.  https://plus.google.com/b/103624728377270787243/events/cbo8qceqi7v7a344311id8rp3ts Our Trainers will focus on the queries posted by participants for discussion in the hangout. https://twitter.com/iZenBridge You can also post your queries at the forum. How to join the hangout? You can watch the event live at Risk Analysis Hangout. The queries/ questions will be taken up by using Q & A app.during the hangout. You need to type in your questions just like before, but now, the Q & A app will make it more manageable for the participants. Only selected participants, who have raised queries in the forum, would get an opportunity to come inside the session by way of video to follow up on the queries they had raised. Only first 9 participants can avail this facility. To enter the live web session, the selected participants can use the link provided at Twitter. Search the link using #iZenPMP. Rest of the participants need to follow the link provided above in the mail. Only in case of technical problems during the hangout, communicate to us on Twitter by using #iZenPMP Speaker:+Saket Bansal
4.8  TNA Step 1: Sensitivity Analysis
 
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Identification and Prioritization of Technologies: Results
Risk Assessment
 
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Summery of risk assessment study for the site based on Reliability, Maintainability, Stress and Sensitivity analysis.
Energy Investment Analysis: Sensitivity Analysis
 
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This video covers how differing assumptions can effect your decision which is called senstivity analysis. This video is part of an energy accounting and investment analysis class in the Energy Management and Renewable Energy Solar Programs at Delaware Technical and Community College. To see a full playlist of the Energy Investment Analysis videos go here: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL1gduOjl1EholWYe-RlxUDPVSSCWiwYm1 To follow along with the slides (feel free to comment on them with questions/suggestions!) go here: https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1nDDRZAt4FO6QSydLhlM3l_TfTGMT12p_YHtv4Ww9XLg/edit?usp=sharing For more details about the Energy Management program go here: https://www.dtcc.edu/academics/programs-study/energy-management. For more details about the renewable energy solar program go here: https://www.dtcc.edu/academics/programs-study/renewable-energy-solar. For more information about me go to my personal website here: http://bit.ly/corybud
Views: 609 Cory Budischak
Decision Analysis 3: Decision Trees
 
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This brief video explains *the components of the decision tree *how to construct a decision tree *how to solve (fold back) a decision tree. Other videos: Decision Analysis 1: Maximax, Maximin, Minimax Regret https://youtu.be/NQ-mYn9fPag Decision Analysis 1.1 (Costs): Maximax, Maximin, Minimax Regret https://youtu.be/ajkXzvVegBk Decision Analysis 2.1: Equally Likely (Laplace) and Realism (Hurwicz) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zlblUq9Dd14 Decision Analysis 2: EMV & EVPI - Expected Value & Perfect Information https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbv9E9D2BRQ Decision Analysis 4: EVSI - Expected Value of Sample Information https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FUY07dvaUuE Decision Analysis 5: Posterior Probability Calculations https://youtu.be/FpKiHpYnY_I
Views: 170482 Joshua Emmanuel
Capital Budgeting Sensitivity Analysis and Real Options in Capital Budgeting
 
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Sensitivity analysis measures the effect of changes in one variable on the project’s NPV.
Views: 822 Elinda Kiss
Sensitivity Analysis in Excel
 
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A short tutorial on doing sensitivity analysis with data tables in Excel
Views: 5076 Somik Raha

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